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2024-12-14 01:07:16

Israeli Army Attacks Prime Minister Li in Southern Lebanon: A flagrant violation of the ceasefire agreement. On the 12th, local time, Lebanese caretaker Prime Minister Mikati issued a statement on Israel's attack on Shyam town, an important town in southern Lebanon. He said that less than 24 hours after the army began to deploy in Shyam and Magayoun to implement the ceasefire decision, Israel attacked Shyam town again, causing casualties. Mikati called the attack a flagrant violation of the ceasefire agreement and a violation of the commitments made by the United States and France as mediators. He called on these countries to clarify their positions on this incident and take immediate measures to curb Israel's aggression. Mikati said that the continuous violation of the ceasefire agreement is the responsibility of the monitoring committee responsible for monitoring the implementation of the ceasefire, and they must resolutely solve this problem and prevent such incidents from happening again. On the same day, Israeli drones attacked the town of Shyam, an important town in southern Lebanon. (CCTV News)WTI crude oil fell by 1.0% in the day to 69.17 USD/barrel.Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)


Market News: Ibrahim Karin, Director of Turkish Intelligence Agency, has arrived in the Syrian capital.The change value of EIA natural gas inventory in the week of December 6 in the United States recorded-190 billion cubic feet, the largest decline since the week of January 26, 2024. Expected-165 billion cubic feet, previous value-30 billion cubic feet.WTI crude oil fell by 1.00% in the day and is now reported at $69.26/barrel.


European Central Bank President Lagarde: Due to the lack of budgets submitted by member States, there is uncertainty. Elections in various countries also lead to their own uncertainties.US National Security Adviser Sullivan: My goal is to reach a hostage exchange and ceasefire agreement (in Gaza) this month.Sony rose more than 2% and hit a new high. Institutions are optimistic about its unique positioning. SONY.US rose more than 2%, hitting a maximum of $22.67, a record high since February 2022. Sony's Japanese shares rose nearly 3% today, once again hitting a record high. In the news, Sony previously announced that for the current fiscal year that will end at the end of March next year, the expected operating profit will reach 1.31 trillion yen, about six times that of fiscal year 1999. Among them, the entertainment business is expected to contribute 60% of the overall profit, while the electronic business is no longer reported as a department alone. Yasuo Nakane, head of global technology research at Mizuho, explained that Sony has a horizontal axis in film, music, games and animation, and a vertical axis from production to distribution. The company also has electronic technology, including image sensors, cameras and software, which makes it in a unique position compared with Apple, Netflix or Samsung.

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